Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001864 0.001977 0.002094 0.002224 0.002365 0.002513 0.002681
2025-04-27 0.001714 0.001876 0.002050 0.002251 0.002480 0.002732 0.003031
2025-05-04 0.001625 0.001822 0.002040 0.002302 0.002610 0.002962 0.003399
2025-05-11 0.001570 0.001796 0.002053 0.002371 0.002756 0.003212 0.003798
2025-05-18 0.001502 0.001746 0.002031 0.002391 0.002839 0.003385 0.004111
2025-05-25 0.001411 0.001662 0.001961 0.002345 0.002835 0.003446 0.004280
2025-06-01 0.001343 0.001601 0.001912 0.002322 0.002853 0.003532 0.004483
2025-06-08 0.001301 0.001569 0.001898 0.002338 0.002921 0.003682 0.004778
2025-06-15 0.001246 0.001518 0.001856 0.002315 0.002934 0.003758 0.004972
2025-06-22 0.001200 0.001475 0.001822 0.002299 0.002953 0.003841 0.005179
2025-06-29 0.001155 0.001432 0.001785 0.002278 0.002963 0.003911 0.005369
2025-07-06 0.001110 0.001387 0.001743 0.002246 0.002956 0.003953 0.005519
2025-07-13 0.001043 0.001313 0.001664 0.002165 0.002883 0.003907 0.005547
2025-07-20 0.001019 0.001295 0.001660 0.002188 0.002959 0.004084 0.005935
2025-07-27 0.001005 0.001291 0.001673 0.002236 0.003074 0.004325 0.006446
2025-08-03 0.000999 0.001296 0.001699 0.002302 0.003218 0.004621 0.007073
2025-08-10 0.000978 0.001279 0.001692 0.002321 0.003292 0.004809 0.007534
2025-08-17 0.000938 0.001235 0.001646 0.002277 0.003265 0.004834 0.007708
2025-08-24 0.000907 0.001202 0.001614 0.002254 0.003270 0.004909 0.007979
2025-08-31 0.000890 0.001188 0.001609 0.002270 0.003336 0.005091 0.008461
2025-09-07 0.000863 0.001159 0.001580 0.002248 0.003339 0.005163 0.008743
2025-09-14 0.000839 0.001133 0.001555 0.002233 0.003352 0.005253 0.009064
2025-09-21 0.000815 0.001107 0.001529 0.002212 0.003355 0.005325 0.009356